Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season risk

The NOAA is predicting "a very high likelihood (85% chance) of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with 17-25 named storms (average is 14), 8-13 hurricanes (average is 7), and 4-7 major hurricanes (average is 3). Why is NOAA so confident that we will have an active Atlantic hurricane season?"

How does NOAA see the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season shaping up?

The blog post above by Matthew Rosencrans, the lead hurricane season forecaster at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, has all…