Increasing odds of El Niño

March 13, 2026

We pay attention to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) discussions and forecasts from the National Weather Service's Cliimate Prediction Center because of the powerful effects ENSO has on precipitation and temperature variability around the world.

There have been some reports of a current ENSO neutral status, but the March 12 update from the Climate Prediction Center says "La Niña continued in February 2026, with below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) persisting in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean". La Niña conditions probably…