La Niña Watch

May 10, 2024

The latest update from the USA's National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center has reported:

"below-average equatorial sea surface temperatures ... in small regions of the eastern Pacific Ocean ... The most recent IRI plume favors an imminent transition to ENSO-neutral, with La Niña developing during July-September 2024 and then persisting through the Northern Hemisphere winter. The forecast team continues to favor the dynamical model guidance, which suggests La Niña could form as early as June-August 2024, with higher confidence of…